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Portugal Resignation Rocks European Markets





Portuguese bonds and stocks led heavy declines in European markets early Wednesday after Foreign Minister Paulo Portas resigned, triggering the worst political, since Portugal accepted an international bailout two years ago.

Portugal's benchmark equity index, the PSI-20, slumped by 6.5% at the open, dragging the main stock index of neighboring Spain, the IBEX, down 3.1%. 
This has also weighed on the core European markets, with Germany's DAX index down 1.8%, the CAC-40 in France off 1.7%, and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 down 1.5%.
Portuguese bonds were already on a weaker footing before the resignation; they had dipped Tuesday after the surprise resignation of Finance Minister Vitor Gaspar. Wednesday, the selloff accelerated sharply.
Portuguese 10-year bond yields rose more than a percentage point to 7.69% amid fears Mr. Portas's Democratic and Social Center Party will withdraw its support for the government. Yields pushed higher in other financially stressed euro-zone countries as fears of contagion grew. Bond yields rise as prices drop.
"The political problems increase the uncertainty surrounding Portugal's bailout commitments and potentially even the prospect for negotiations of a precautionary program succeeding the current program running out in May next year," RBC said in a note to clients. "We see the risk of further spillover effects into Spanish bonds and Italian bonds hampering the recent recovery."
More than 4 ½ hours before the start of trading in the U.S., futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average were down 0.6% at 14774. Changes in futures don't always accurately predict early market moves after the opening bell.
Mr. Portas leads the conservative Democratic and Social Center Party, which the government relies on for its majority. It isn't clear whether his party will withdraw its support for the center-right coalition government.
He stood down a day after Mr. Gaspar, the architect of the country's austerity plan under its international bailout, also quit, triggering calls for an early election. The Socialist Party, currently led by António José Seguro, has been ahead in recent opinion polls. Mr. Seguro's party has broadly supported the government's cost-cutting goals, but would likely seek to slow the pace of reform if they prosper in an early election. The poll is due sometime before October 2015.
Yields on Italian 10-year bonds rose by 0.11 percentage point to 4.507%, while Greek bonds were quoted up 0.11 percentage point at 11.183% according to Tradeweb
In his resignation letter, Mr. Portas said he disapproved of the prime minister's appointment of Treasury Secretary Maria Luis Albuquerque to replace Mr. Gaspar, highlighting divisions in cabinet about the future of the government's austerity plan.
Prime Minister Passos Coelho said late Tuesday in a televised address that he hadn't accepted the resignation, citing the likely political instability. "I won't resign and won't abandon my country," he said.
Mr. Gaspar, Ms. Albuquerque has emphasized a need for the government to keep tight control over its budget. Her appointment was considered unlikely to lead to a strong shift in policy.
Compared with Greece, another country pushing through unpopular cost-cutting measures, Portugal's government was previously united behind austerity measures. In recent months a series of strikes and street protests in Portugal have tested the limits of the public's tolerance for cost-cutting.